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Z Outlook
  
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 Forecast Discussion

  
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ACUS01 KWNS 230102
SWODY1
SPC AC 230101

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017

Valid 230100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN NEW
MEXICO EAST INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA/WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A BROAD
PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms will continue this evening -- and possibly into
the overnight hours -- from parts of eastern New Mexico into west
Texas.

...Southern Plains...
Strong/isolated severe storms continue across portions of eastern NM
into the western half of TX and adjacent southwest OK.  The storms
are ongoing within a marginally to moderately unstable environment
(1000 to 2000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE), with severe risk being aided
by ample (around 40 kt) 0-6 km shear.  With flow aloft slightly
north of west atop low-level southeasterlies, a continued southeast
spread of storms off the high Plains into lower-terrain areas is
expected.  While overall risk should wane late this evening, local
risk may persist into the overnight hours.

..Goss.. 05/23/2017

$$